March 2024 Cycoldian general election

March 2024 Cycoldian general election

25 March - 1 April 2024
March Assembly of the General Assembly 6 seats needed for a majority
First party Second party   Leader Christina I & II Nicholas Lokin Party Monarchist Party Tulip Party Leader since 5 May 2019 30 October 2023 Leader's seat Royal Octonary (Elected) Last election 8 seats, 54.17% 0 seats, 8.33% Seats won 8 seats 2 seats Seat change 0 2 First choice vote 13 12 Percentage 43.33% 40.00% Swing ▼ 10.84 pp 31.67 pp   Third party Fourth party   Leader Christopher Tran Lewis Ross Party Unitary Party Labour Party Leader since 30 March 2020 7 November 2023 Leader's seat Octonary (Defeated) Last election 2 seats, 25% Did not stand Seats won 0 seats 0 seats Seat change ▼ 2 0 First choice vote 2 3 Percentage 6.67% 10.00% Swing ▼ 18.33 pp 10.00 pp
Prime Minister before election Amelia Banks Monarchist Prime Minister after election Amelia Banks Monarchist

The March 2024 General Election was a general election for the General Assembly in Cycoldia. It elected the Fourteenth General Assembly's March Assembly. It was the first time the Tulip or Labour Parties are partaking in a general election, as well as the first election following the founding of the New Liberals less than a month before. For the first time in Cycoldian politics, the election included several electoral pacts. As well it showed the end of the Unitary Party's opposition government, with all Unitary incumbents losing their seats to Tulip Party candidates.

Parties and Candidates

During the March 2024 general election, several pairs of political parties agreed to electoral cooperation, namely the Tulip Party and Labour Party mutually endorsing each other, commonly referred to as the Tulip-Labour Pact, and the Monarchist Party and Unitary Party partaking in a similar electoral alliance referred to as the Crown & Torch Pact. On the Monarchist Party's official ballot, UP's candidates were placed after the four Monarchists, while both the official Labour and Tulip voting recommendations placed each of their partners' candidates directly after their own. This was also the first Cycoldian election in which a foreign official endorsed a candidate, namely the President of Dubovia Michael Pocci, endorsing Lewis Ross of the Labour Party.

During the sign up period for candidacies, Andrew Perdomo withdrew himself from Cycoldian politics and the elections on 23 March 2024. The same day, Myka Hrženjak announced their candidacy under the Monarchist Party.

Parliamentary parties

The table below lists the political party groups represented in the 13th General Assembly before the March 2024 general election. Non-Voting seats are not elected via Cycoldian general elections, and are instead sent as delegations from members of the Cycoldian Imperium, and therefore will only change if a member is replaced during the election.

Name				Leader(s)	Before elections		After elections
					Voting Seats	Non-Voting Seats	Voting Seats	Non-Voting Seats
		MP	Monarchist Party	Christina I & II	8 / 10	3 / 5	8 / 10	3 / 5
		TP	Tulip Party	Nicholas Lokin	0 / 10	0 / 5	2 / 10	0 / 5
		UP	Unitary Party	Christopher Tran	2 / 10	0 / 5	0 / 10	0 / 5
	IND	IND	Independents	N/A	0 / 10	1 / 5	0 / 10	1 / 5

List of Candidates

All incumbents ran for re-election, however one candidate dropped out of the election, with Andrew Perdomo withdrawing his candidacy when he withdrew from Cycoldian politics on 23 March, that being two days before the election. With this, Myka Hrženjak instead ran for the election under the Monarchist Party, however the sudden nomination and lack of campaigning able to be done for them has been hypothesised to have made their election significantly harder and possibly be a cause for their loss in the election, as well as the already lower numbers than predicted for the Monarchist Party.

Candidate		Experience	Campaign announced	Party	CFFS (%)	Endorsements
	Brandon Mierzwa	Chief Marshal (2022–present) Member of the General Assembly (2022–present)	N/A	Monarchist Coalition	19 63.33%	Christina I & II Summi Imperatoria of Cycoldia
	Mats Seifert	Chief Public Prosecutor (2023–present) Member of the General Assembly (2024–present)	N/A	Monarchist	16 53.33%	Christina I & II Summi Imperatoria of Cycoldia
	Christopher Tran	Leader of the Opposition (2020–2024) Foreign & Colonial Minister (2021–2022) (2023–present) Member of the General Assembly (2020–2024) Leader of the Unitary Party (2020–present)	N/A	Unitary	10 33.33%
	Maximilian Greig	Deputy Prime Minister (2023–present) Minister of the Interior (2023–present) Member of the General Assembly (2023–present)	N/A	Monarchist	16 53.33%	Christina I & II Summi Imperatoria of Cycoldia
	Aidan Fritz	Chancellor of the Exchequer (2023–present) Member of the General Assembly (2023–2024)	N/A	Unitary	16 53.33%	Christina I & II Summi Imperatoria of Cycoldia
	Plamen Iliev II	Spokesman of the Tulip Party (2024-present) Chairman of Cylon Research (2024–present)	February 9, 2024	Tulip	15 50.00%
	Lewis Ross	Member of the General Assembly (2023–2023) Leader of the Labour Party (2023–present)	February 9, 2024	Labour	15 50.00%	Michael Pocci President of Dubovia
	Rose Slavska	Leader of the Green Alliance (2023–2024)	February 11, 2024	Tulip	11 36.67%
	Nicholas Lokin	Leader of the Tulip Party (2023–present)	February 12, 2024	Tulip	15 50.00%
	Myka Hrženjak	Head File Clerk of the Ministry of Justice (2024–present) Chairman of the Cycoldian National Historical Institute (2024–present)	March 23, 2024	Monarchist	14 46.67%	Christina I & II Summi Imperatoria of Cycoldia

Withdrawn Candidates

Candidate		Experience	Campaign announced	Campaign withdrawn	Party	CFFS (%)
	Andrew Perdomo	Commander of the Foreign Legion ad Interim (2024–2024)	February 9, 2024	March 23, 2024	Monarchist	11 52.38%

Polling

Olympia Polling predicted the Unitary Party to lose all of their seats, and for the Monarchist Party to gain one seat as well as the Tulip Party to gain a seat. The polling had twenty one responses, and was emailed to all citizens of Cycoldia.

Polling By Party

By Party Popularity
Political Party		Responses
		Overal (%)	Change (%)
	Monarchist Party	71.43%	▼ 9.90 pp
	Tulip Party	51.43%	▼ 0.57 pp
	Unitary Party	50.00%	▼ 8.50 pp
	New Liberals	45.71%
	Democratic Party	35.71%	3.71 pp
	Labour Party	33.33%	▼ 5.34 pp

General Popularity
Monarchist Party			71.43%
Tulip Party			51.43%
Unitary Party			50.00%
New Liberals			45.71%
Democratic Party			35.71%
Labour Party			33.33%

By Party Vote
Political Party		First Choice Votes
		Total	Of total (%)	Change (%)
	Monarchist Party	12	57.14%	10.47 pp
	Tulip Party	3	14.29%	▼ 5.71 pp
	New Liberals	2	9.52%
	Labour Party	2	9.52%	2.85 pp
	Unitary Party	1	4.76%	1.43 pp
	Democratic Party	1	4.76%	1.43 pp

Party Vote
Monarchist Party			57.14%
Tulip Party			14.29%
New Liberals			9.52%
Labour Party			9.52%
Unitary Party			4.76%
Democratic Party			4.76%

Polling By Candidate

Polling by Candidate
Candidate		First Choice Votes		Combined First Five Selection
		Total	Of total (%)	Total	Of total (%)
	Brandon Mierzwa	7	33.33%	19	90.48%
	Mats Seifert	3	14.29%	15	71.43%
	Maximilian Greig	0	0.00%	15	71.43%
	Andrew Perdomo	2	9.52%	11	52.38%
	Plamen Iliev II	5	23.81%	11	52.38%
	Christopher Tran	0	0.00%	9	42.86%
	Aidan Fritz	1	4.76%	5	23.81%
	Lewis Ross	2	9.52%	6	28.57%
	Nicholas Lokin	1	4.76%	8	38.10%
	Rose Slavska	0	0.00%	6	28.57%
Invalid/blank votes		0	—	0	—
Total		21	100.00%	105	500.00%
Source: Data of the March 2024 Polling

Combined First Five Selection
Brandon Mierzwa			90.48%
Mats Seifert			71.43%
Maximilian Greig			71.43%
Andrew Perdomo			52.38%
Plamen Iliev II			52.38%
Non-Elected Candidates
Christopher Tran			42.86%
Aidan Fritz			23.81%
Lewis Ross			28.57%
Nicholas Lokin			38.10%
Rose Slavska			28.57%

Results

Following the tallying of votes, the Condorcet winner was tied between all candidates, and the winners were determined through Instant-runoff voting as dictated by the General Assembly. The IRV ranking placed Spokesman of the Tulip Party Plamen Iliev II in first, followed by Chief Marshal Brandon Mierzwa, with the two of them swapping seat placement due to the latter's guaranteed by his military post seat in the GA, the Officer's Seat, being 6th. This marked the first time a non-MP candidate placed first in a Cycoldian election of any sort. The two were followed by Leader of the Tulip Party Nicholas Lokin, Member of the 13th General Assembly for the Septenary Seat Mats Seifert and Deputy Prime Minister Maximilian Greig.

By Party

By Party Affiliation of Voters
Political Party		Votes			Seats
		Total	Of total (%)	Change (%)	Total	Gained	Lost	Net
	Monarchist Party	14	46.67%	0 pp	8	0	0	0
	Tulip Party	7	23.33%	3.33 pp	2	2	0	2
	Labour Party	3	10.00%	3.37 pp	0	0	0	0
	Unitary Party	2	6.67%	3.33 pp	0	0	2	▼ 2
	New Liberals	2	6.67%	6.67 pp	0	0	0	0
	Democratic Party	1	3.33%	0 pp	0	0	0	0
	Independents	1	3.33%	▼ 0.84 pp	0	0	0	0
Invalid/blank votes		1	—	—
Total		30	100.00%		10
Source: Official Election Results March 2024 General Election

Votes by Party
Monarchist Party			46.67%
Tulip Party			23.33%
Labour Party			10.00%
Unitary Party			6.67%
New Liberals			6.67%
Democratic Party			3.33%
Independents			3.33%

By Candidate

Polling by Candidate
Candidate		First Choice Votes		Combined First Five Selection
		Total	Of total (%)	Total	Of total (%)
	Brandon Mierzwa	6	20.00%	19	63.33%
	Plamen Iliev II	7	23.33%	15	50.00%
	Nicholas Lokin	3	10.00%	15	50.00%
	Mats Seifert	4	13.33%	16	53.33%
	Maximilian Greig	1	3.33%	16	53.33%
	Aidan Fritz	1	3.33%	16	53.33%
	Lewis Ross	3	10.00%	15	50.00%
	Myka Hrženjak	2	6.67%	14	46.67%
	Rose Slavska	2	6.67%	11	36.67%
	Christopher Tran	1	3.33%	10	33.33%
Invalid/blank votes		1	—	5	—
Total		30	100.00%	150	500.00%
Source: Official Election Results March 2024 General Election

Combined First Five Selection
Brandon Mierzwa			63.33%
Plamen Iliev II			50.00%
Nicholas Lokin			50.00%
Mats Seifert			53.33%
Maximilian Greig			53.33%
Non-Elected Candidates
Aidan Fritz			53.33%
Lewis Ross			50.00%
Myka Hrženjak			46.67%
Rose Slavska			36.67%
Christopher Tran			33.33%

Pairwise Compairison Matrix
	Brandon Mierzwa, MC	Mats Seifert, MP	Christopher Tran, UP	Maximilian Greig, MP	Aidan Fritz, UP	Plamen Iliev II, TP	Lewis Ross, LP	Rose Slavska, TP	Nicholas Lokin, TP	Myka Hrženjak, MP
Brandon Mierzwa, MC		22/8	21/9	25/5	21/9	14/16	16/14	17/13	17/13	23/7
Mats Seifert, MP	8/22		16/14	14/16	15/15	14/16	16/14	16/14	14/16	15/15
Christopher Tran, UP	9/21	14/16		16/14	9/21	15/15	16/14	19/11	15/15	14/16
Maximilian Greig, MP	5/25	16/14	14/16		15/15	14/16	16/14	17/13	17/13	15/15
Aidan Fritz, UP	9/21	15/15	21/9	15/15		15/15	16/14	19/11	15/15	15/15
Plamen Iliev II, TP	16/14	16/14	15/15	16/14	15/15		22/8	26/4	24/6	17/13
Lewis Ross, LP	14/16	14/16	14/16	14/16	14/16	8/22		17/13	13/17	16/14
Rose Slavska, TP	13/17	14/16	11/19	13/17	11/19	4/26	13/17		10/20	16/14
Nicholas Lokin, TP	13/17	16/14	15/15	13/17	15/15	6/24	17/13	20/10		16/14
Myka Hrženjak, MP	7/23	15/15	16/14	15/15	15/15	13/17	14/16	14/16	14/16

References

Footnotes

Citations